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Oct 15, 2012

Texas Treasure

Center research reveals that despite the Great Recession, the stateโ€™s real estate industry remained strong, second only to manufacturing. And Texasโ€™ real estate wealth continues to climb.

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By
Ali Anari

In the aftermath of the Great Recession, how strong is Texasโ€™ real estate industry?

An ongoing Real Estate Center research program monitors the relative importance of the Texas real estate industry and the stateโ€™s real estate wealth. Most recent data show the stateโ€™s real estate industry is maintaining its standing among the stateโ€™s industries and that real estate wealth continues to grow.

Industry’s Effect on Texas Economy

The real estate industry accounted for 8.4 percent of Texasโ€™ gross domestic product (GDP) in 2011 compared with 11.7 percent for the United States (Table 1). The lower than national average share is mainly attributable to lower than national average Texas home prices.

Table 1. Value Added by Industry, Texas and United States, 2011. This table lists  privates industries, their value added in millions for Texas and the U.S, and the percent total in Texas and in the U.S. Source is U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.

Real estate was the third largest Texas industry in 2011, after manufacturing and mining (Table 1). It was the second largest in 2010.

Table 2. Employment by Industry, Texas and United States, 2011. This table lists the industries and their number and percent total in Texas and the U.S.. Source is U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.

Texasโ€™ real estate industry has the largest proportion of self-employed persons. Including the self employed, 521,684 persons worked in the Texas real estate industry in 2011, representing 3.6 percent of statewide employment; nationwide, they were 4.0 percent (Table 2). The corresponding percentages for Florida, California and Arizona were 5.1, 4.8 and 5.5, respectively. Real estateโ€™s share in Texasโ€™ total employment increased from 2.6 percent in 1999 to 3.5 percent in 2011 (Figure 1).

Figure 1. Real Estate Employment as Percentage of Total Employment, 1990-2011. This line graph shows the changes in percentage of total employment, with Texas as a blue line and the United States as a green line.

Every $1 million of real estate industry revenue generates:

  • just over half a million dollars of revenue in other parts of the Texas economy,
  • 5.2 jobs in the stateโ€™s real estate industry and
  • five jobs in other industries.

Real estate taxes are a big contributor to the state’s overall wealth:

  • Taxes paid by the real estate industry accounted for 14.8 percent of total Texas business taxes in 2009.
  • Texasโ€™ property tax revenue in 2009 was more than $40 billion or 47.8 percent of the stateโ€™s tax revenues.
  • Texas school districts levied $21.7 billion in property taxes in 2009, accounting for 54.4 percent of total property tax revenues.
Table 3. Texas Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Employment in 2010. This table lists regions in Texas with the total number and percent of real estate, rental, and leasing employment in 2010. Sources are U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.

In 2010, the stateโ€™s four largest metropolitan areas accounted for a majority of real estate employment (Table 3).

  • Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown, Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, and San Antonio-New Braunfels, had 81.4 percent of Texasโ€™ real estate employment.
  • 174,141 persons, including those self-employed, were working in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlingtonโ€™s real estate, rental and leasing industry, or 33.3 percent of that industryโ€™s Texas employment.
  • 149,310 persons, including the self-employed, were working in Houston-Sugar Land-Baytownโ€™s real estate, rental and leasing industry, some 28.6 percent of employment in Texasโ€™ real estate industry
Image of commercial properties

COMMERCIAL PROPERTIES
represent 16.6 percent of Texasโ€™ total real estate wealth. The largest category is single-family residences, which make up 56.3 percent.

Restoring Texas Real Estate Wealth

The total value of Texas real estate wealth in 2011 was more than $1.6 trillion (Table 4). Since 1997, the total value of Texas real estate wealth has increased 2.4 times. Texasโ€™ per capita real estate wealth in 2011 was $65,432, up 86.7 percent from $35,055 in 1997.

Real estate wealth comprises single-family residences, multifamily residences, commercial properties, industrial properties, mineral real estate, utility company properties, rural acreage and vacant lots.

Figure 2. Texas Real Estate Wealth, 2011. This figure is a pie chart of a coin, with sections for rural acreage, vacant lots, utilities, mineral real estate, industrial real estate, commercial real estate, multiple-family residences and single-family residences. Sources are Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.

Single-family residential wealth in Texas in 2011 totaled $945.1 billion, accounting for 56.3 percent of the stateโ€™s real estate wealth (Figure 2). The total value of single-family residential wealth in 2011 was 2.8 times its value in 1997 (Table 4). Single-family residential wealth includes houses, condominiums and mobile homes on land owned by the occupant.

Table 4. Texas Real Estate Wealth, 1997 and 2011. This table list the dollar amount in billions, and percent total for 2010 and 1997, along with the 2010/1997 Ratio for each real estate category. Sources are Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts and Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.

The total value of Texasโ€™ multiple-family residential wealth in 2011 was $85.1 billion, accounting for 5.1 percent of real estate wealth. The total value of multiplefamily residential wealth in 2011 was 2.5 times its value in 1997 (Table 4).

Multifamily residential real estate includes apartments and residential buildings containing two or more dwelling units belonging to one owner. Hotels and motels are excluded.

Commercial real estate had the largest share of the stateโ€™s real estate wealth in 2011 after single-family residential (Table 4). Texasโ€™ commercial real estate wealth was $278.9 billion, 2.5 times its value in 1997. Commercial real estate consists of land and improvements devoted to sales or services to the public.

Texasโ€™ 2011 industrial real estate wealth amounted to $95 billion, or 5.7 percent of the stateโ€™s real estate wealth. That was 1.8 times the value in 1997 (Table 4). Industrial real estate wealth consists of land and improvements devoted to the development, processing or storage of a product, excluding utilities.

Texasโ€™ mineral real estate wealth in 2011 totaled $106 billion, accounting for 6.3 percent of real estate wealth. This was 2.9 times its 1997 value (Table 4). Mineral real estate wealth comprises producing and nonproducing oil and natural gas wells, all other mineral interests, and equipment used for extracting and producing minerals.

In 2011, utility company properties in Texas were valued at $50 billion, close to their 1997 value (Table 4). The utilities industry includes gas companies, electric companies, railroads, water companies, pipeline companies and cable television providers.

The total value of Texasโ€™ rural acreage in 2011 was $80.3 billion, 4.8 percent of the stateโ€™s real estate wealth and 1.6 times its value in 1997 (Table 4).

The 2011 value of vacant lots was $39.5 billion or 2.4 percent of the stateโ€™s real estate wealth. This was twice its value in 1997 (Table 4).


Dr. Anari ([email protected]) is a research economist with the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University.

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